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Business survey suggests contraction of economic activity in North East

The NatWest North East PMI Business Activity Index is the worst performing region in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ after a sharp contraction

Part of Newcastle and Gateshead(Image: handout from Bowmer and Kirkland)

Business activity in the North East has seen its sharpest contraction in more than a year and is the worst performing in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ, a new survey suggests.

The NatWest North East PMI Business Activity Index – which measures changes in the region’s manufacturing and service sectors – fell from a score 49.2 in August to 43.7 last month. Scores below 50 signal a contraction in the region’s private business sector.

The drop in activity was the fastest seen since last August and the quickest decline of the 12 monitored º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions. Weak client demand, economic uncertainty stemming from high interest rates and elevated inflation was reported by firms as reasons for the contraction.

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New orders at North East firms fell for the fifth month running and there were signs that companies in the region are seeing a decline in confidence. Although firms still anticipate increased future activity, the degree of confidence was well below recent levels seen in the region and the lowest score in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ.

Companies in the region reported big increases in costs, notably with higher energy, fuel, transport and material prices.

Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the NatWest North Regional Board, said: “North East firms registered a tough end to the third quarter, as weak demand conditions and the cost-of-living crisis continued to weigh on new orders and output. The contraction in new business accelerated to the fastest in just under a year as customers tightened their spending as purchasing power fell. In fact, the North East was the worst performing º£½ÇÊÓÆµ region for output, new orders, employment and future activity.