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Business activity increases in West Midlands but growth is slowing down - report

The latest NatWest PMI report highlights that output grew in December but the rate of increase slowed significantly

John Maude of NatWest's Midlands and East regional board

Output from West Midlands firms increased for an 11th consecutive month in December, according to a new report.

The latest NatWest PMI report for the region highlighted that output grew across the private sector, but the rate of increase slowed to the weakest since February.

The headline Business Activity Index – a seasonally adjusted index that measures the month-on-month change in the combined output of the region’s manufacturing and service sectors – slipped from 54.3 in November to 50.7, signalling only a marginal rate of expansion.

Companies indicated that growth was curtailed by rising Covid-19 cases and its knock-on effect on consumer confidence, while material and staff shortages were also cited as factors curbing output.

December data also pointed to stagnant new orders at private sector companies in the region, with monitored firms indicating that sales were constrained by Covid-19-related uncertainty, fears over the spread of the Omicron variant and reduced client numbers.

The local trend was in stark contrast to that seen at the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ level, where new business rose solidly despite a notable slowdown in growth.

Elsewhere, West Midlands firms continued to report rising operating expenses in December, with higher freight, raw material and wage costs mentioned in particular. Increases were often attributed to shortages and the shipping crisis.