º£½ÇÊÓÆµ

Oops.

Our website is temporarily unavailable in your location.

We are working hard to get it back online.

PRIVACY
Opinionopinion

Austerity, markets and growth - attempting to read the signals

Dr Steven McCabe writes "Recent events will not provide much comfort to the coalition government which placed so much faith in austerity as the way to solve this country's economic problems".

Economic commentators say there could be another crash in stock values

In the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ we are two years away from the general election which will mean that economic data will be closely analysed by both commentators and politicians in order to demonstrate whether we are recovering or not.

Recent events will not provide much comfort to the coalition government which placed so much faith in austerity as the way to solve this country's economic problems.

However, the reality of the situation is that the economy will be influenced by as much by events overseas as by whatever policies are being pursued by the incumbent government.

At present the portents do not look good.

For starters there was the slide in shares last Thursday though there was a rally on Tuesday because of the announcement by the Central Bank that stimulus policies would continue.

Some argue that last week's decline was caused by a concern that the increases enjoyed in recent months have been false and far too reliant on the vast amounts of money that has been pumped into the economy as a result of quantitative easing.

The view among come economic commentators is that there are underlying conditions which may create another crash in stock values. Any sniff of governments abandoning quantitative easing - which would reduce liquidity in the system - will inevitably cause panic.

The need to invest huge sums of the money we should not forget was a policy that emerged in the aftermath of the global financial crisis and in the belief that unless something drastic was done there would be a 'domino effect' of more banks like Lehman Brothers going bankrupt.