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PRIVACY
Opinion

Covid and China will define Joe Biden's presidency

If the global economy is to revive it needs the US and China to reset their relationship

Joe Biden(Image: Getty Images)

After what many would call the most surreal four years in American (and possibly global) politics, some sense of normality was restored to the United States earlier this week when Joe Biden was elected as the 46th President on the steps of the Capitol Building in Washington where, only two weeks earlier, supporters of Donald Trump had begun their protests against the results of the presidential election.

In what is still clearly a divided country politically, the new president will have a mountain to climb in order to bring people with deeply contrasting opinions to even listen to each other, never mind creating a consensus which many can live with.

However, this important test which was at the core of the inauguration address will have to take second place to the immediate economic challenges faced by Mr Biden, challenges that will have an impact not only on his own nation but also the rest of the global economy.

Clearly, his first priority will addressing the Covid-19 pandemic and the damage it has caused to the American economy since March, mainly as a result of his predecessor’s insouciance towards the biggest global health crisis since the 1920s. Not only does the USA have 25 million cases of Covid-19 and 400,000 deaths from the virus but the introduction of a vaccination programme intended to save lives and reopen the economy is far behind what was expected.

As in every other country, but obviously on a far larger scale, the biggest task for Joe Biden will be to control the spread of the virus without further damaging an economy that is in considerable difficulties.

Labour market statistics show that only half of the 22 million jobs lost in March and April when the United States locked down have returned and the situation seems to be getting worse. For example, the US economy is now losing more jobs than it is creating for the first time since the pandemic began with over 140,000 Americans being made unemployed in December.

To turn this around and stimulate a moribund US economy, the new administration will borrow $1.9 trillion with the aim of speeding up the vaccination programme, reopening schools and providing support to people and businesses.

Indeed, each US taxpayer will receive $1,400 each (on top of the $1,800 already given out by President Trump since March) and small businesses are expected to get an additional $15bn in grants and $35bn in low-interest loans.