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Opinionopinion

Comment: Message to GKN shareholders - stick with it

Shareholders now have a choice between what Melrose and current GKN Management are offering, says Professor David Bailey

In trying to fend off the hostile takeover bid by Melrose, GKN has published both its forward strategy document and its formal defence.

Both will be crucial in determining the firm's future - along with a decision by Business Secretary Greg Clark on whether to intervene or not on national security grounds (no news on that as yet).

In setting out its forward strategy, dubbed 'Moving GKN To A World Class Financial Performance', the board has set out how it hopes to keep shareholders loyal and stop them from selling out to Melrose.

That plan includes returning as much as £2.5 billion to shareholders under the previously announced 'Project Boost' improvement programme.

The forward strategy confirms that GKN is aiming to target substantial cash returns to shareholders over three years, with a "significant" chunk of this coming from divestments over the first 12 to 18 months, likely to include offloading its powder metallurgy division.

GKN also stated that its dividend policy until 2020 will aim to deliver an average payout of 50 per cent of free cash flow.

Shareholders now have a choice between what Melrose and current GKN management are offering.

On balance, I think GKN have come up with a plan that shareholders could back as Melrose's terms are not actually any better than GKN's new forward strategy.