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Solid decline in East Midlands business activity according to latest NatWest survey

Worrying economic survey came ahead of the full impact of Kwasi Kwarteng's much criticised mini budget

The East Midlands economy's fall in September came ahead of the full impact of Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng's much criticised mini budget

The cost of living crisis is starting to have a big impact on customer demand and business activity, according to the latest monthly industry survey from NatWest.

However business leaders that took part said as cost inflation picks up, many selling prices were rising at a softer pace, while business confidence had risen to a four-month high.

The bank’s analysis signalled a solid contraction in business activity, and the second-fastest since the start of 2021.

Lower output was attributed to the impact of inflation and hikes in energy costs on customer spending.

Of the 12 monitored º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions, only Northern Ireland and the South West recorded quicker declines in output than the East Midlands.

The region’s firms registered a further contraction in new business in September, extending the current sequence of decline to five months. Firms linked the fall in new orders to the impact of the cost of living crisis on customer spending and relatively weak client confidence.

The rate of decrease was strong overall and was the second-fastest since May 2020 – at the height of Covid.

Manufacturers and service providers both recorded sharp contractions in new business.