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East Midlands business activity grows at fastest pace in eight years – but war pushing prices up, says NatWest

Inflation and war conspire to make business confidence slip to 14-month low

The war in Ukraine is rocking the whole world

East Midlands bosses said business growth hit an eight year high last month but said war in the Ukraine and rampant inflation saw confidence slip to 14-month low.

The headline NatWest East Midlands Business Activity Index signalled a marked month-on-month upturn in business activity across the region.

The rise in output was the sharpest since July 2014 and only slightly behind the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average.

Alongside reports of stronger client demand, firms noted that the increase in activity stemmed from the further easing of Covid-19 restrictions.

NatWest said the upturn in new orders eased from February's recent high and was slower than the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average, but the rate of growth was stronger than recent trends.

As well as putting it down to easing restrictions, many companies put greater client demand down to rising prices and threats of further supply delays following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The March data indicated a lower degree of optimism among East Midlands private sector firms regarding the outlook for output over the coming year.

The level of positive sentiment was the lowest since January 2021 and below the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average.