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Economic Development

Yorkshire and Humber firms show renewed optimism despite headwinds

Firms were increasingly confident about the year ahead despite declining orders

Leeds city centre

Confidence among business leaders across Yorkshire and Humber is on the rise thanks to hopes for sales pipeline growth and despite a number of headwinds.

Research in the NatWest Growth Tracker shows that last month, companies across the region were optimistic about the year ahead - particularly in housebuilding and infrastructure development. The monthly survey of business leaders indicated that despite the optimism, business activity had actually reduced, albeit at a slower rate of decline than in January and described as "mild" overall.

Meanwhile the headline Yorkshire & Humber PMI Business Activity Index, which is seasonally adjusted and measures the month-on-month change in combined output of the region's manufacturing and service business, increased to 48.6 last month from 47.7 in January. Firms reported that delays to orders curtailed growth.

Lower employment levels were reported across the region, with the rate of job cuts speeding up slightly and at is fastest since November 2020. Researchers said the decline in workforce numbers was relatively soft compared with other parts of the country.

Order intake declined across Yorkshire and Humber, following a º£½ÇÊÓÆµ trend which was only bucked by the North East and London. The decline across the region was the fastest in 15 months but described as moderate overall.

Lacklustre incoming orders meant the reduction of backlogs continued at a steep rate, though measured at its weakest in three months. However, firms indicated stronger growth expectations in February - outpacing the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as a whole.

Businesses across Yorkshire and Humber continued to face steep price inflation, though the rate was down slightly on a nine-month high. Prices were raised in response, and at the sharpest pace since June 2023.

Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the NatWest North Regional Board, said: "We continue to see a strong level of optimism across the Yorkshire and Humber private sector. Reasons underpinning confidence include robust sales pipelines and upbeat forecasts regarding the investment outlook, particularly linked to home building and emergent infrastructure relating to renewable and clean energy.