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Economic Development

Worrying picture for North East firms as demand downturn takes hold

There has been a slowdown in new work for regional manufacturers and service sector businesses

In August, output fell for the third consecutive month across North East manufacturers and service sector firms(Image: Stoke Sentinel)

Output from regional firms fell for the third consecutive month in August as a downturn in demand became more entrenched.

New findings from Natwest's North East PMI Business Activity Index, which measures the output of the region's manufacturing and service sectors, returned a score of 49.2, up from 46.8 in July but still showing the economy in decline. Researchers say firms were clearing backlogs of work faster but new business declined more sharply.

Despite positivity overall among regional firms surveyed, the North East saw a decline in confidence since July and recorded the worst 12-month outlook of all º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions. However, sentiment remained above the rolling 12-month average as bosses saw past inflationary pressures to expect a recovery in demand.

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Data showed August was the fourth successive monthly decline in new work received by North East companies. And the rate of contraction accelerated from July to its strongest point since October last year.

That was set against a º£½ÇÊÓÆµ-wide backdrop of declining demand, for a second month running and also at a faster rate. The North East saw the fourth-strongest drop in new orders among the 12 º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions monitored.

With a steeper drop in new orders, firms resorted to clearing backlogged work at a sharper rate as outstanding business fell at its fastest pace since August 2022 - well in excess of the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average. Researchers said North East backlogs have fallen for 20 successive months in the longest sequence of all regions.

Meanwhile costs for businesses increased across August, continuing a 39-month sequence of inflation. The rate of increase was little-changed from the two-and-a-half-year lows seen in June and July. Firms said wages, fuel, interest rates and Brexit all contributed to pressures.