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Economic Development

Welsh housing market forecast to see more sales in 2024

New research from the RICS shows that chartered surveyors expect prices to be steady next year

The RICS has published its latest Residential Market Survey.(Image: Getty Images)


The outlook for the housing market in Wales has improved with surveyors expecting sales to increase and prices to be steady in 2024.

Latest monthly research from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows a net balance of minus 9% of chartered surveyors in Wales reported a fall in newly agreed sales through November. Although still in decline, it is the slowest rate since mid 2022. New buyer enquiries also fell at the slowest rate since early 2022, with a net balance of minus 9% reporting a fall, a marked improvement from minus 57% in October.

There was also more supply coming onto the sales market through November. A net positive balance of 16% of Welsh surveyors reported a rise in new instructions to sell during the month, the third consecutive month that this figure has been in positive territory.

Looking at pricing over the past three months, surveyors in Wales remain less downbeat than in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as a whole. A net balance of minus 36% reported that prices had declined through November, compared to the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average of minus 43%.

Surveyors in Wales are more optimistic on the three-month outlook for sales than they were with a net balance of 17% of respondents anticipating a rise. A net balance of minus 12% anticipate that prices will fall over the next quarter, a marked improvement compared to minus 37%, minus 52% and minus 73% in the October, September and August surveys respectively.

The research also shows that expectations for next year have taken an upturn. A net positive balance of 30% now expects sales to be higher in a year’s time, up from

The imbalance between demand and supply in the lettings market continued through November in Wales. A positive net balance of 29% reported a rise in tenant demand in Wales in the November survey. When looking at supply, a net balance of minus 29% of respondents a fall in new properties becoming available. With this supply and demand dynamic, a net balance of 43% expect rents to increase in the three months ahead, similar to the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average figure of 42%.

Tim Goodwin of Holyhead-based Williams & Goodwin The Property People, said: “There is a noticeable shortage of new instructions coming to the market as is the seasonal norm, but still plenty of enquiries from prospective purchasers.”