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Economic Development

º£½ÇÊÓÆµ government borrowing surges past expectations in Budget blow

Public sector borrowing in October was £2.2bn higher than anticipated, with the total borrowing figure this financial year exceeding £100bn

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves speaks at a business reception at Lancaster House in central London (Image: PA)

º£½ÇÊÓÆµ government borrowing surpassed forecasts in October, with benefits and public sector wages amplifying strains on the public purse ahead of Rachel Reeves' Budget next Wednesday.

The Office for National Statistics revealed that public sector net borrowing had hit £17.4bn in the latest set of public finances data that government officials will review before Wednesday's pivotal political event.

City economists had anticipated government borrowing to total £15.2bn over the month.

Borrowing in the current financial year has now also exceeded £100bn, reaching £116.8bn. This was nearly £10bn higher than the figure projected by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).

Martin Beck, a former Treasury economist who is now at WPI Strategy, said: "The OBR may conclude that part of this overshoot [in government borrowing] reflects structural rather than cyclical weakness.

The fiscal watchdog will not take the latest set of numbers into account in its fiscal forecast to be published next week.

It is presenting its last forecast measures to Reeves today, with the Chancellor now set to get an official reading of the size of her headroom and the impact new Budget policies will have on growth.

But the latest set of figures on taxation, expenditure and borrowing will send a warning to Treasury officials putting their final touches on the upcoming Budget, which is expected to unveil fresh tax rises to fill a £20bn fiscal hole. The government's borrowing costs were £8.4bn for the month.