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Economic Development

South West companies continue to face 'challenging' conditions, NatWest reports

In its latest PMI Business Activity Index the bank found business activity and sales fell for a fourth month in the region

Business activity contracts again amid further drop in new orders (Image: Matt Crossick/PA Wire)

Business activity in the South West has contracted as sales fell for a fourth straight month.

According to NatWest's PMI Business Activity Index – a seasonally adjusted index that measures the month-on-month change in the combined output of the region’s manufacturing and service sectors - activity picked up from August's nine-month low of 46.7 to 47.8 in September.

The index has now posted in contraction territory for four successive months. NatWest said across the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ, business activity fell for the second straight month, though the rate of contraction remained softer than that seen in the South West.

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Private sector companies in the region recorded a further reduction in overall new business during September. Although, whilst not as "severe" as that seen in August, the bank said the rate of contraction "was solid overall". Tighter client budgets, elevated inflation and weaker confidence all weighed on customer spending, according to panellists.

While some companies expressed hopes that economic conditions will improve and investment in new technology and marketing will aid growth, there were concerns related to tighter financial conditions and the associated pressure on client expenditure going forward.

NatWest’s seasonally adjusted employment index noted workforce numbers at South West private sector firms declined in September at the quickest rate since December 2022. According to panellists, the non-replacement of voluntary leavers and cost control measures had "weighed on recruitment".

Additionally, although inflationary pressures eased to the lowest in 31 months, they remained higher than the historical trend. Firms told researchers they raised their own prices to pass on higher operating expenses to customers. Output charges also rose at a historically strong pace at the national level, albeit one that remained slightly softer than that seen in the South West.