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PRIVACY
Economic Development

Signs of º£½ÇÊÓÆµ economic rebound emerge despite ongoing global trade concerns

The º£½ÇÊÓÆµ economy appears to have turned a corner after a torrid month for businesses, but the suggestion they have escaped the worst of additional cost pressures may be premature

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves

The º£½ÇÊÓÆµ economy is poised for a rebound after enduring a challenging period marked by soaring energy costs and hikes in employment taxes, according to recent data.

S&P Global's latest flash purchasing managers' index (PMI) indicates that the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ's services sector experienced modest growth in output during May, while the decline in manufacturing activity appears to be softening, as reported by .

However, it may be premature to conclude that º£½ÇÊÓÆµ businesses have fully weathered the storm of cost pressures from what has been termed 'Awful April.'

According to feedback gathered by S&P Global researchers, the erratic nature of President Trump's trade policies is casting a shadow over business confidence, with a noticeable dip in business activity attributed to clients' reluctance to place orders for services.

The composite PMI figure came in at 49.4, marginally below S&P Global's neutral 50-figure threshold, indicating a stagnation in output. Uncertainty surrounding global economic policies has led to the sharpest drop in new work across the private sector in two and a half years.

Additionally, private sector employment numbers continued to decline due to redundancies, the non-replacement of staff who voluntarily leave, and hiring freezes, all contributing to reduced workforce numbers within the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ economy.

Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global, remarked that businesses experienced a "milder May" following the difficulties faced in "awful April."

"Business confidence has rebounded from April's recent low, which had seen confidence collapse to a degree not seen since the Truss Budget of 2022, and price pressures have moderated after spiking higher," Williamson remarked. He also noted that "Sunny weather also provided a welcome boost to business activity in some parts of the economy."