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Economic Development

Region's growth stutters to lowest in England in May

Yorkshire and Humber now lagging behind national average according to latest barometer

May's analysis has been fed into the NatWest PMI Yorkshire & Humber Business Activity Index.

Business activity in the region fell further behind the rest of the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ in May, only just remaining in positive territory.

Latest findings from the NatWest Yorkshire & Humber PMI Business Activity Index put the area at 0.6 percentage points above the break-even line, some 3.4 per cent below the national average. Only Wales recorded a faster fall in new business intake in what was the first contraction in demand since January.

Weaker conditions in the markets key customers operate in reportedly weighed on new order inflows.

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Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the NatWest North Regional Board, said: “The NatWest Regional PMI data suggests Yorkshire and the Humber faced a challenging period during May. Not only did growth slow to a marginal pace, but compared to its peers, this part of the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ was one of the worst performers. The region saw demand conditions weaken over the course of the month, affecting the rate of growth and impacting business confidence in some sectors.

"The latest report does offer grounds for optimism. Encouragement can be gleaned from sustained employment growth, which suggests that companies are filling vacancies and preparing themselves for future opportunities. Falling inflationary pressures also bodes well, and we've already seen reports of firms making their prices more competitive. That said, underlying data shows that price pressures are driven by services, with firms in these industries reporting higher wage costs. Therefore, the risk of inflation staying stubborn remains elevated for the time being."

Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the NatWest North Regional Board.(Image: NatWest)

The month-on-month change in the combined output of the region’s manufacturing and service sectors dipped to 50.6, from 52.5 in April, although a fifth consecutive month of expansion in staffing was noted.

According to surveyed firms, extra workers were hired to fill vacancies, reduce the strain on existing staff and prepare for future growth. The rate of jobs growth slowed and was modest, but broadly matched that seen for the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as a whole.