Northern Ireland’s labour market remains in good health, with a record number of people in jobs, a relatively short dole queue and rising wages.
The latest Labour Market Survey from the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency showed the highest level of pay-rolled employees on record in August of 779,600. That is 2.7% up on the same time last year and 3.6% higher than in March 2020, before the Covid-19 pandemic restrictions took hold.
The data suggests the jobs market is managing to shrug off concerns around the growing risk of recession as a result of soaring inflationary pressures. However, economists have warned labour data tends to be a lagging indicator of economic health and future months will offer an indication as to how deeply the current environment has impacted employment.
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Encouragingly for workers, the Labour Market Survey has shown that wages are close to keeping pace with inflation, rising by 9.2% in August to £1,987 a month on average. That compares to an inflation rate of 9.9% for the month, one which fell from 10.1% in July.
The claimant count – the number of people claiming unemployment benefit – stood at 35,600, around 3.8% of the workforce and down from 5.1% last year. However, the claimant count remains above the 3% recorded in March 2020.
Overall, the employment data reflects a labour market in good health but looking further into the data reveals the economic inactive level – the number of people neither in work or looking for work – remains stubbornly high at 28.2%, considerably higher than the 21.7% for the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average. Northern Ireland’s economic inactivity rate has remained consistently higher than the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ for the last 15 years, peaking at 31% in 2009.