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PRIVACY
Economic Development

Northern Ireland business activity trails º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as lockdown and Brexit bite - Ulster Bank PMI

Businesses reported that cost inflation is hitting margins and forcing up prices to consumers

Richard Ramsey, Chief Economist at Ulster Bank

Business activity in Northern Ireland fell at the fastest rate of all º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions last month, according to the latest Purchasing Managers Index from Ulster Bank.

The keenly watched report showed the reintroduction of lockdown measures and movement restrictions have pared back activity while rising costs have put pressure on margins.

Northern Ireland saw by far the fastest rate of cost inflation, hitting the highest level for over 12-and-a-half years, as the cost implications of importing goods post Brexit began to bite.

Manufacturing was the sector that posted the highest rate of cost inflation, but it was evident in all sectors. Due to these costs, firms raised their own prices at the sharpest rate in the survey’s history.

Meanwhile, the province also saw the steepest decline in payroll numbers and one of the biggest falls in backlogs of work of all 12 º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions.

Northern Ireland’s PMI was pegged at 40.2 compared to a º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average of 49.6 and slightly higher than the 38.3 in January. A reading above 50 signals growth, and the further above the 50 level the faster the expansion signalled.

Just four º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions – London, Yorkshire and Humber, West Midlands and the North West recorded a reading above 50.

On the upside, the survey found businesses in Northern Ireland were more positive about the future, Richard Ramsey, Chief Economist Northern Ireland, Ulster Bank, said.