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Economic Development

North East business activity surges in December, survey suggests

The NatWest Growth Tracker has the region showing the highest business activity in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ for the first time in more than four years

The Newcastle skyline, viewed looking across from Gateshead towards the Tyne Bridge and the Glasshouse(Image: Newcastle Chronicle)

The North East saw the biggest rise in business activity in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ last month, an influential survey suggests.

The NatWest Growth Tracker data for December, which measures change in the region’s manufacturing and service sectors, revealed stronger demand for businesses across the North East. Private sector firms enjoyed a solid increase in incoming new business in December and confidence around future activity levels improved notably, though employment levels fell for the second time in three months.

The headline North East Growth Tracker Business Activity Index rose from 53.9 in November to 55.1 in December, with scores above 50 denoting growth in the regional economy. The increase was the strongest of the 12 º£½ÇÊÓÆµ areas, the first time the North East has achieved that in more than four years.

December’s survey data pointed to a ninth consecutive rise in new work across the North East, contributing to firms in the region feeling confident about activity in 2025.

The upbeat findings of the NatWest survey run contrary to much of the recent messaging coming from business organisations about confidence levels among º£½ÇÊÓÆµ companies following October’s Budget.

The president of the CBI yesterday said that Chancellor Rachel Reeves had “bruised” business confidence by expecting companies to help fill the hole in public finances, while the British Chambers of Commerce released research which suggested that less than a quarter of firms increased their workforce in the last three months of 2024.

But Malcolm Buchanan, chair of the NatWest North regional board, said: “The North East economy continued to expand, and at a stronger rate in December... Firms reported that activity growth accelerated to a 20-month high, while new business inflows also continued to rise at a solid pace. In fact, business activity growth in the North East was the strongest of the 12 monitored º£½ÇÊÓÆµ regions and nations for the first time since September 2020.

“Confidence surrounding the outlook for activity in 2025 strengthened at the end of the year, with the overall degree of optimism rising to the most pronounced since July. That said, recruitment faltered during December, with firms scaling back headcounts for the second time in three months and to the greatest extent in 2024. Cost pressures faced by North East companies accelerated, contributing to a steeper rate of charge inflation.”