Bookies and pollsters agree Lorely Burt faces a seriously uphill task to hold on to her Solihull seat in 2015.
was the closest race in 2010, with Ms Burt seeing off the by less than half a per cent, and it will again be the Tories challenging in the .
However, the bookies believe journalist Julian Knight, who is standing for the Conservatives, will succeed this year.
Mr Knight is 7/2 on with both Paddy Power and William Hill to secure the seat, while Ladbrokes make him a 3/1 on chance.
By comparison, Ms Burt is considered 3/1 against by Ladbrokes, 5/2 against by Paddy Power and 11/4 against by William Hill.
Phil Henrick will stand for and all three bookmakers give him a 20/1 chance, with the ’ Howard Allen a 25/1 chance.
Nigel Knowles, standing for , is 100/1 against to win in Solihull this year.
Lord Ashcroft’s poll into Solihull suggests the Conservatives are set to win it from the Lib Dems despite votes actually falling since the 2010 General Election.
In 2010, Ms Burt won by a tiny margin after both her and the Tories received 43 per cent of the vote. A poll last September shows the Conservatives have a healthy lead with 37 per cent of the vote compared to 28 per cent for the Lib Dems. The significant difference is the rise of º£½ÇÊÓƵIP, which the poll shows as going from two per cent to 16 per cent.
All odds are subject to change and were correct at the time this story was written.
We have used all photographs we were able to find from our archives and sourcing online.
