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PRIVACY
Economic Development

Business activity and confidence bouncing back in Wales as lockdown eases

The headline NatWest Wales Business Activity Index showed an upturn in output but a decline in workforce numbers

Shoppers out and about in Llandudno(Image: North Wales Live/Hadyn Iball)

Business activity and confidence is bouncing back in Wales as the nation slowly emerges from lockdown.

The headline NatWest Wales Business Activity Index – a seasonally adjusted index that measures the month-on-month change in the combined output of the region’s manufacturing and service sectors – registered 55.1 in March, up notably from 43.7 in February, to signal a renewed rise in business activity across the Welsh private sector.

The upturn was widely linked to greater client demand and an increase in new orders following hopes of an end to lockdown restrictions as 2021 progresses. The rate of output growth was the fastest seen across Wales since September 2018 but was slightly slower than the average for the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as a whole.

Private sector firms operating in Wales registered a renewed expansion in new orders during March, thereby bringing to an end a two-month sequence of contraction.

Moreover, the pace of new business growth was strong overall and the sharpest since August 2018. Companies often stated that greater new sales stemmed from stronger domestic and foreign client demand, with some also noting an uptick in spending amid hopes of an end to Covid-19 restrictions.

The rate of increase in new orders was slower than the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ average, however.

NatWest(Image: PA)

March data signalled the strongest degree of business confidence across the Welsh private sector since data collection for the series began in July 2012. Marked optimism was reportedly linked to hopes of an end to the COVID-19 pandemic and social distancing restrictions. An improvement in positive sentiment at Welsh firms reflected greater confidence at businesses across the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ as a whole.

Welsh companies indicated another monthly decline in workforce numbers at the end of the first quarter, thereby extending the sequence that began in March 2020. The fall in employment contrasted with the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ trend where renewed growth was registered. The latest decrease in staffing numbers was attributed to ongoing efforts to cut costs.