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Economic Development

Brexit uncertainty, global trade tensions, and election turbulence blamed for decline in export sales

Report by British Chambers of Commerce and DHL reveals large declines in sales for º£½ÇÊÓÆµ manufacturing exporters

(Image: PA)

Brexit uncertainty, global trade tensions, and election turbulence are all cited as reasons for a large decline in sales for º£½ÇÊÓÆµ manufacturing exporters.

The Quarterly International Trade Outlook for Q3 2019, released by British Chambers of Commerce and DHL today, reveals that indicators for exporting manufacturers in Q3 2019 have undergone large declines, with several key indicators for orders and cashflow now in negative territory.

The percentage balance of exporting manufacturers reporting an increase in export orders fell to –1%, down from +9 in the previous quarter. The balance of those reporting increased domestic orders fell to -4% in Q3, down from +8 per cent in Q2.

The balance of exporting manufacturers reporting improved cash flow stood at -5% in Q3, down from +6% in Q2. In Q3 2018, one year ago, the balance stood at +13.

While exporting manufacturers saw large declines across the QITO indicators, the exporting services sector also saw indicators well below historical levels.

In Q3 +8% of exporting service sector firms reported an increase in domestic orders, down from +12% in Q2. A balance of 0% reported an increase in export orders, down from +5.

Adam Marshall, the BCC director general said: “A strong and balanced economy needs healthy exporters at its core. But while there are some companies bucking the trend, future sales and orders are now well into negative territory, after a steady downward trend in export performance this year.

“On top of Brexit uncertainty and global trade tensions, election turbulence won’t be helping. The next administration will need to most fast to restore confidence, with action to upgrade infrastructure, boost skills and cut business costs.