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PRIVACY
Economic Development

Birmingham's economic growth 'could halve' after Brexit result

Referendum fallout is forecast to hit West Midlands hard according to new report published by financial think tank and law firm

The impact of the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ's decision to leave the EU is expected to more than halve economic growth in Birmingham and other West Midlands cities over the coming year, according to a new report.

The º£½ÇÊÓÆµ Powerhouse report, produced by the Centre for Economic and Business Research (Cebr) and law firm Irwin Mitchell, provides an estimate of gross value added (GVA) and job creation within 38 of the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ' s largest cities, 12 months ahead of the Government' s official figures.

It said that, despite the continued momentum in the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ car industry, which provided a noticeable boost to economies within the region in the first three months of 2016, the study reveals that Birmingham' s economy is now expected to grow by only 0.6 per cent in the 12 months to the first quarter of 2017.

Economic think tank Cebr had expected economic output in Birmingham to grow by 1.8 per cent during the period but has now lowered its forecast following the º£½ÇÊÓÆµ' s decision to leave the

Looking further ahead, the report suggests the economy within Birmingham is expected to recover to an annual growth rate of 1.2 per cent by the first quarter of 2018 - still below the figure of 1.6 per cent which was the level predicted before the Brexit decision.

The latest analysis suggests that in the first quarter of 2017, GVA in Coventry will grow by 0.7 per cent rather than 1.7 per cent and 0.4 per cent in Wolverhampton instead of 1.4 per cent.

In Stoke, GVA is expected to be at 0.5 per cent rather than 1.6 per cent.

Chris Rawstron, head of business legal services at Irwin Mitchell in Birmingham, said: "These forecasts demonstrate the significant challenges that many businesses face in the West Midlands.