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PRIVACY
Commercial Property

Office demand grows across the North as agent warns of shortage of Grade A stock

Manchester sees huge city centre deals while North East sees largest out of-town letting

Northern cities saw a takeup in office levels in Q3(Image: Manchester Evening News)

The big cities of the North saw a boost in office take-up levels in Q3 as appetite for “best in class” space continues to grow, the latest data from Avison Young has revealed – though there are still fears about levels of Grade A stock.

The advisory firm’s latest Big Nine report showed Manchester secured two out of the top five largest city centre office deals outside of London in Q3, with BNY Mellon’s 196,443 sq ft lease at 4 Angel Square and ARM’s 68,860 sq ft lease at the landmark No.1 Michael’s. The report showed Manchester also saw the greatest asset transaction volumes, accounting for 37% of the whole Big Nine.

In the out-of-town market, the North East landed the largest letting, with Spire Healthcare Limited taking 30,783 sq ft at Spectrum 7, Seaham. NG Bailey’s 25,230 sq ft deal at Arlington Business Centre, White Rose Park, Leeds, was the third largest.

Avison Young said Liverpool also had a positive quarter, with lettings totalling 76,839 sq ft – up 108% on Q2. It said that in Manchester and Liverpool, the leading drivers of demand over the past year have been professional services, financial services, TMT and creative sectors. The markets in Leeds and Newcastle were driven by professional services and Government, with manufacturing and industry also strong in Newcastle.

Chris Cheap, principal and managing director of transactions at Avison Young, said: “It’s encouraging to see our Northern cities performing well and having one of their collectively strongest quarters in recent years. BNY Mellon’s acquisition in Manchester represented the largest deal in the city since 2020, demonstrating that there is a real appetite for best-in-class office space and businesses are happy to invest if the quality is right.

“The office markets across Leeds, Liverpool, Manchester and Newcastle are very different but one thing appears to be a consistent challenge across them all – the shortage of Grade A stock. Developers remain cautious, with borrowing and construction costs still high and limited downward pressure on yields. Supply across regional markets in the short to medium term will be restricted without public sector intervention or significant market shift.

“Based on schemes currently under construction, we expect to see supply shortages in 2025, which will place additional upward pressure on prime rents. We may need to see a significant alteration in approach going forward, with developers setting an ‘entry price’ for new stock based on the mechanics of an appraisal, rather than rental tones which aren’t keeping pace with the needs of the occupational market and the cost of meeting them.”

The key regional statistics

The cities covered in Avison Young’s Big Nine report include: Bristol, Birmingham, Cardiff, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Leeds, Liverpool, Manchester and Newcastle.